Turning Probability into Assets: Prediction Market Agents
让概率成为资产：预测市场智能体前瞻
Summary
A forward look at agents that treat probability itself as an investable asset class — automating research, position-sizing and execution across prediction markets.
Why it matters
Prediction markets are shifting from novelty betting venues to genuine information-pricing infrastructure; agents are the mechanism that makes that pricing efficient at scale.
Key ideas
Prediction markets are best understood as probability-pricing infrastructure, not gambling venues.
Agents compress research, position-sizing and execution into one system.
Turning probability into an asset class requires standardized risk and settlement primitives.
Versions
Chinese and English versions of this report.
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